@meed18 how’re you handling this?
I never moved anything back in. I decided to stay on the sidelines to see if limiting withdrawals became a thing across the industry. It did, so I am not interested anymore. Even though Voyager never limited withdrawals, there’s nothing stopping them from doing it. Everything I had in USDC at Voyager earning 9% is now at SoFi earning 1.25%.
and, just like that
https://investvoyager.zendesk.com/hc/en-us/articles/4407560579227-Are-there-withdrawal-limits-
https://coinflex.com/blog/coinflex-update-on-withdrawals/
Due to extreme market conditions last week & continued uncertainty involving a counterparty, today we are announcing that we are pausing all withdrawals. We fully expect to resume withdrawals in a better position as soon as possible.
Celsius looks like they’re going bankrupt.
Act like a bank, but with nearly zero equity buffer for taking bad loan losses ahead of your depositors, and then act surprised when you blow up in a market downturn.
A nice intro to the above WSJ article if you want the highlights
—-
Bloomberg - Are you a robot?
Celsius
Here is a financial literacy test for you:
- You can borrow $18 billion at 8% interest.
- You can take that money and invest it in loans that pay 20% interest.
- You don’t have to put up any of your own money.
- So you get $3.6 billion a year in interest (20% of $18 billion), and you pay out $1.4 billion in interest (8% of $18 billion), so you keep about $2.2 billion for yourself.
- Is this good?
This is not a yes-or-no question, and the right answer is probably something like “well, good for who?” If you are a person who invents a business like this, and you are able to do it for a year or two and squirrel away the $2.4 billion, it is very very good for you and you can buy yachts and stuff. But in the long run, if you are borrowing at 8% and lending at 20%, you are taking some huge risk somewhere. Those 20% loans are risky and correlated and illiquid and possibly Ponzi schemes; that 8% money is flighty and unstable; you are lending out all the money you are borrowing and there is no cushion anywhere. At some point the people lending you the money at 8% are all going to ask for it back, and the people borrowing the money at 20% aren’t going to give it back, and you’re not going to have the money to pay back the 8% people, and they’re going to be really mad, and that’s when it will be useful for you to have a yacht to sail away on.
Anyway here’s a Wall Street Journal article about Celsius…
Crypto setting all sorts of records. The ~$2B fraud is from a few years ago, the news is they caught the guy.
- CFTC Charges South African Pool Operator and CEO with $1.7B Fraud Involving Bitcoin
- CFTC: Action Is CFTC’s Largest Fraud Scheme Case Involving Bitcoin
In more recent news, BlockFi is worth almost nothing. Time will tell if these guys overpaid by $25M or not.
wonder what will be happen to my CC rewards there. $200 in well diversified crypto
Oh well glad I didn’t buy more.
good article on the 3 Arrow blowup.
Voyager looks like they’re going down too. No withdrawals, spending what they have left on lawyers.
That was quick. There but by the Grace of God go I.
Glad you got out in time. Good advice from Margin Call.
“If you’re first out the door, that’s not called panicking.”
I have a close friend I am afraid is going to lose a bunch. He was in Voyager before I was and he was part of the reason I got in for the few months I did. I’ve been messaging him the past few weeks about getting his money out and telling him that I got mine out and couldn’t stomach it. I messaged him at 2:45 PM today and asked if he was all the way out. He said no. I sent him the link to the press release about closing withdrawals at 2:00 PM (he’s on vacation in Switzerland so I don’t think he had heard yet). I didn’t hear back from him after sending the link. I hope he does okay.
First section of this post covers the 3 Arrow blowup.
Housing correction a la 2009?
Voyager is gone too.
Guess we’ll get a decent sample of how bankruptcy law judges treat crypto investors in these types of companies at this rate.
It’s a good thing there weren’t any, like, major professional sports franchises helmed by super-visible billionaires that introduced Voyager to a bunch of unsuspecting noobs who, we have to imagine, were subsequently enticed to get in to crypto on the heels of “an unprecedented $100 CRYPTO REWARD,” right?
https://twitter.com/investvoyager/status/1471220596591710213