Thread seems ded. At least AAPL almost has crept back to $200.
For all you lucky LYFT owners, I hope you sold early after the IPO. Priced at $72, still a 10% return but could have been 20% earlier in the day.
Edit. Here’s the next couple days
Q1’19 performance - total returns for the year to date.
QQQ 17% tech stocks
IWM 15% smallcaps
SPY 14% large caps
EFA 10% foreign stocks (developed)
EEM 10% foreign stocks (emerging markets)
JNK 8% junk bonds
BTC 8% bitcoin
BND 3% bonds
GLD 1% gold
Everyone’s a winner! Just the opposite of 2018, where everything but cash was down, some more than others.
Took slightly longer than 3 months for AAPL from $142 to back over $200.
Now my IB accounts are up around 100% from low in Jan this year, but still down around 40% from Jan '18. Still a ways to go.
Not planning to touch any of my AAPL leaps for at least 6-9 more months. Earliest dated are 2x Jun '20. The rest are in '21.
Looking “happy” I sold most of F in Jan at ~$8… (went from $9.37 to $10.18 after ER today)… consolation is where i moved funds (AAPL) is up 50%. But the AAPL options were expensive. Plus it sucked some of my F options expiring worthless.
Also today, MSFT $1T.
Edit: Wow. F at $10.35. $1 up from near closing.
Small short term earnings bet, naked short 2 puts.
First short term since pain in January.
Edit:Looking good! I should have bought more calls instead of the 2 naked puts. Overall from -$5k to +$15k for the day in a second or two.
Well that settles it - UBER is clearly better than LYFT. They only lost 8% on the first day for IPO investors, while LYFT lost 11% and is now down 30% from their $72 IPO price. UBER IPOed at $45 and is now in the $41s.
The bottom line w/ stocks is I like to see a chart (5 years+) that is trending upwards, not downwards.
Short term AAPL $200 bet, I bought 2x this friday 187.50 calls for ~$1 each.
Did you take partial profits yesterday? I hope …
Should have. Oh well.
Q2’19 performance, total returns year to date:
Let’s hear it for the bitcoin bulls! Even gold put up a decent showing in Q2, but again it was a case of everything being up, just a question of how much.
Fruit phone sales off 12% YoY but overall sales up 1% YoY.
Phone’s were actually under 50% of sales (!)
Q3’19 recap, total returns. Some numbers might be slightly off, had more trouble than usual getting them this time.
Broadly it was a flat to slightly down quarter for equities (depending on which), while safer assets, like fixed income and gold, saw gains.
New AAPL 52 high (div adjusted). Up 61% from jan 3 low.
IB acct up ~160% from Jan '19 low, still off about 30% from Jan '18. Thinking about maybe selling 5-10% of my AAPL exposure.
You could sell some calls if you’re on the fence, hedge a bit that way.
9% for BND. That’s quite a move.
That’s mostly what I own now, just deep ITM LEAP calls. Still holding out for 250 I think. Still one of my 20 calls (200 strike jun '20) is slightly red
Still currently holding all the AAPL exposure… need to set a target to remove some. IMO, AAPL looks near fair value at this point.
My stock+retirement accounts today finally just matched their prior peaks from Jan last year, still down by net deposits/contributions.
(without adjustments for deposits/withdrawals)
Date - Taxable - IRA - 403 - Total
2018-01-11 300k 40k 160k 500k (Max)
2019-01-02 _84k 11k 157k 250k (Minimum since)
2019-11-04 222k 66k 212k 500k (Now)
Net deposit 8k 16.5k 41k
2019-11-04 214k 50k 171k 435k