Individual Stock Discussions

Individual Stock Discussions
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Thread seems ded. At least AAPL almost has crept back to $200.

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For all you lucky LYFT owners, I hope you sold early after the IPO. Priced at $72, still a 10% return but could have been 20% earlier in the day.

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Edit. Here’s the next couple days

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Q1’19 performance - total returns for the year to date.

QQQ 17% tech stocks
IWM 15% smallcaps
SPY 14% large caps
EFA 10% foreign stocks (developed)
EEM 10% foreign stocks (emerging markets)
JNK 8% junk bonds
BTC 8% bitcoin
BND 3% bonds
GLD 1% gold

Everyone’s a winner! Just the opposite of 2018, where everything but cash was down, some more than others.

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Took slightly longer than 3 months for AAPL from $142 to back over $200.

Now my IB accounts are up around 100% from low in Jan this year, but still down around 40% from Jan '18. Still a ways to go.

Not planning to touch any of my AAPL leaps for at least 6-9 more months. Earliest dated are 2x Jun '20. The rest are in '21.

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Looking “happy” I sold most of F in Jan at ~$8… (went from $9.37 to $10.18 after ER today)… consolation is where i moved funds (AAPL) is up 50%. But the AAPL options were expensive. Plus it sucked some of my F options expiring worthless.

Also today, MSFT $1T.

Edit: Wow. F at $10.35. $1 up from near closing.

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Small short term earnings bet, naked short 2 puts.
First short term since pain in January.

Edit:Looking good! I should have bought more calls instead of the 2 naked puts. Overall from -$5k to +$15k for the day in a second or two.

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Well that settles it - UBER is clearly better than LYFT. They only lost 8% on the first day for IPO investors, while LYFT lost 11% and is now down 30% from their $72 IPO price. UBER IPOed at $45 and is now in the $41s.

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The bottom line w/ stocks is I like to see a chart (5 years+) that is trending upwards, not downwards.

https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/lyft

Short term AAPL $200 bet, I bought 2x this friday 187.50 calls for ~$1 each.

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Did you take partial profits yesterday? I hope …

Should have. Oh well.

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Q2’19 performance, total returns year to date:

ticker type Q2 YTD’19
BTC bitcoin 189.00% 220.00%
QQQ tech 4.00% 22.00%
SPY large caps 4.00% 18.00%
IWM smallcaps 2.00% 17.00%
EFA foreign (developed) 4.00% 14.00%
JNK junk bonds 2.00% 11.00%
EEM foreign (emerging) 5.00% 10.00%
GLD gold 9.00% 10.00%
BND bonds 3.00% 6.00%

Let’s hear it for the bitcoin bulls! Even gold put up a decent showing in Q2, but again it was a case of everything being up, just a question of how much.

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Fruit phone sales off 12% YoY but overall sales up 1% YoY.
Phone’s were actually under 50% of sales (!)

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Q3’19 recap, total returns. Some numbers might be slightly off, had more trouble than usual getting them this time.

ticker type Q3 YTD’19
BTC bitcoin -31% +117%
QQQ tech 0% +22%
SPY large caps +1% +19%
GLD gold +4% +14%
IWM smallcaps -3% +13%
EFA foreign (developed) -3% +11%
JNK junk bonds 0% +11%
BND bonds +2% +9%
EEM foreign (emerging) -6% +4%

Broadly it was a flat to slightly down quarter for equities (depending on which), while safer assets, like fixed income and gold, saw gains.

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New AAPL 52 high (div adjusted). Up 61% from jan 3 low.

IB acct up ~160% from Jan '19 low, still off about 30% from Jan '18. Thinking about maybe selling 5-10% of my AAPL exposure.

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You could sell some calls if you’re on the fence, hedge a bit that way.

9% for BND. That’s quite a move.

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That’s mostly what I own now, just deep ITM LEAP calls. Still holding out for 250 I think. Still one of my 20 calls (200 strike jun '20) is slightly red

Fruit Co. almost $250 already :(.

Some of these options are getting expensive, almost $10k

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Still currently holding all the AAPL exposure… need to set a target to remove some. IMO, AAPL looks near fair value at this point.
My stock+retirement accounts today finally just matched their prior peaks from Jan last year, still down by net deposits/contributions.

Account values:
(without adjustments for deposits/withdrawals)
Date - Taxable - IRA - 403 - Total
2018-01-11 300k 40k 160k 500k (Max)
2019-01-02 _84k 11k 157k 250k (Minimum since)
2019-11-04 222k 66k 212k 500k (Now)

Net deposit 8k 16.5k 41k
2019-11-04 214k 50k 171k 435k

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