The 2026 election politics

Right, New England broadly voted about 40% for Trump in 2024 and the above picture shows how the districting maps arranged to divide up those supporters in ways that have resulted in no House seats.

• New Hampshire Republicans won about 46% of the statewide U.S. House vote → 0 seats
• Maine Republicans won about 43% of the statewide U.S. House vote → 0 seats
• Connecticut gave Trump about 43% of the presidential vote → 0 GOP House seats

And that’s not new, that’s how it’s been for a while. So complaining that the Republicans are finally playing hardball like the democrats have been for decades is a bit rich.

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But is it because of how the maps are arranged? Or is there generally a state-wide Democrat support in the state? If that 40% Trump support is consistent state-wide, there’s no reason to expect any Republican House seats. But if there are substantial areas of Republican majority support that have been intentionally split into minority segments, that’s a different story.

There is no data to look at that is conclusive without seeing the full context. As said before, district maps should be completely blind to voting history. The only potential consideration beyond a straightforward population-based grid, is having separate districts for urban and rural areas. And even using that to draw maps can be debatable.

Those Democrat radicals gave up on disbanding the VA Supreme Court and moved on to proposing disbanding the whole VA government. Luckily no one else is with them, but talk about a threat to democracy, sheesh.

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https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/bessents-suffocating-iranian-regime-strategy-materializes-kharg-island-satellite-imagery

Bessent’s “Suffocating” Iranian Regime Strategy Materializes In Kharg Island Satellite Imagery

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s description of “suffocating” the Iranian regime through economic and financial pressure, whether via sanctions or the US military blockade of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoint, now appears to be showing up in the data.

New geospatial intelligence indicates that Iran’s main crude export terminal has gone quiet, while a separate report suggests seaborne oil exports have effectively been halted for the past month.

The first report comes from Bloomberg, which cited European satellite imagery showing a massive bottleneck developing at Iran’s energy complex: no ocean-going tankers at Kharg Island, the country’s main export terminal, on May 8, 9, and 11. This marks the longest stretch in no crude tanker loadings since the US-Iran conflict began nearly three months ago.

If Kharg Island remains idle and storage capacity reaches its limit, Iran could be forced into deeper oil production cuts.

To our best knowledge, Iran hasn’t successfully exported any crude oil by sea over the past 28 days. Some refined products managed to escape because US OFAC did not slap sanctions on those tankers,” research firm Tanker Trackers wrote on X.

That thing that they say never happens, keeps happening.

Meanwhile, Democrat DAs are trying to intimidate ICE from intimidating illegals from voting in their democratic strongholds.

https://www.politico.com/news/2026/05/18/district-attorneys-voter-intimidation-00927460

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I understand this. They’ve put so much effort into selling the narrative that ICE is going around kidnapping every American citizen who looks remotely a little bit hispanic, the consequence being that Hispanic Americans are reluctant to go anywhere ICE has a presence. So instead of simply correcting the narrative, they double down with more BS on top of their initial BS.

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Did they not kidnap multiple US citizens?

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Since when is erroneously arresting somebody a kidnapping?

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The definition of kidnapping is to abduct by force or fraud. I believe an arrest requires a warrant or probable cause, which they did not have, because if they did, it would not be an “erroneous arrest.” My understanding is ICE were walking around the streets and asking every unlucky random person questions, including citizenship status, then “arrested” anyone they didn’t like, laws be damned.

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There has been occasional isolated incidents. They’re mistakes. Not systemic grabbing everyone they run into on the street like the Dems want you to think.

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I don’t know what “the Dems” want me to think, I formed my own opinion after seeing the videos online. How many “they” do you need before something is “systemic?” One is a mistake. Two? Let it slide. Three? That is systemic. Two (?) murders plus a bunch of kidnappings is systemic. It is egregious, Gestapo-like behavior by federal “law enforcement.” “The Dems” might just be reflecting what the people see and feel.

Combine that with the fact that they didn’t do any background checks, reduced the training requirements, and created quantity mandates (I remember reading something like 3000 arrests per day), they ended up with an army of untrained bullies. What do you expect normal people to think?

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Under your same argument --once is a mistake; three is systemic-- we could say that money for learing centers and hospices is a manifestation of systemic government corruption in blue states and cities. We don’t want to get into that retoric.

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Sure. Is that strictly a blue state problem? That would be surprising. But also it’s a completely different subject.

https://katiecouric.com/news/politics-and-policy/democratic-party-2024-election-autopsy-revelations/

Democrats Finally Released Their 2024 Autopsy — And It’s a Mess

The unfinished DNC report criticizes President Biden and the Democrats’ strategy against President Trump.

After mounting pressure from frustrated party operatives, the Democratic National Committee released the full, unredacted review of the party’s 2024 campaign performance on Thursday.

The report attempts to answer some of the biggest lingering questions from the election, including whether President Biden did enough to prepare then-Vice President Kamala Harris for a national campaign, how the party misread voter frustration over the economy and immigration, and why Democrats struggled to connect with key voting blocs. But the rollout quickly drew criticism after Democrats discovered the draft appeared unfinished and riddled with errors.

The release comes at a difficult time for the DNC. Despite recent electoral wins, the committee holds roughly $18 million in debt, according to its most recent fundraising report, with only about $14 million in the bank.

CA governor and LA mayor results tonight, or 30 days from now after they get done counting the mail in ballots from the graveyards.

Pratt for mayor ran a great campaign:

Note that the mayor will be a runoff, top 2/3, unless someone gets >50%. Similarly, the governor election will pick the top 2 for the final runoff.

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Meanwhile in CA, they aren’t calling anything due to their month long mail in ballot process, which, somehow, nearly all other states have managed to avoid.

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LA mayor candidate and outsider Spencer Pratt was a strong 2nd to advance to the final election behind the incumbent “visiting Africa on taxpayer’s dime while LA burns” Bass. However, with only mail-in ballots remaining, a familiar pattern emerges where late counted votes are overwhelmingly Democrat for the far left progressive candidate who was in 3rd as of Election Day.

Serious stuff first - news, current vote tallies, market odds for Pratt advancing collapse.

Jokes second

nice AI video parody


Before we cast serious allegations of election fraud, let’s just say “the election process in CA doesn’t lend itself to voter confidence, and could have been changed to do so but hasn’t been despite long-standing criticism”.

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bump

LA - Forget it Spencer, it’s Chinatown.

Note somehow the regular election had a majority of votes for the incumbent, while the post-election mail-in votes dont just favor the progressive over the conservative candidate, they have the progressive well outnumbering the incumbent as well. Hmm.

Just a reminder that the relatively unknown and initially 3rd place Raman actually conceded on election night:

But that was before she realized things would… unexpectedly go her way in the mail-in counting to ensure no conservative option for voters in the main election. Odd.

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CA it’s not election fraud, it’s just our rules with loopholes and (deliberately?) few or no checks on the process - automated voter enrollment, universal mail-in ballots, ballot harvesting, etc, makes widespread fraud difficult to confirm and quite plausible to achieve.

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