This is a comment regarding the election . . . November’s general election for POTUS:
If things end up with two NYC multi-billionaires confronting one another, I think it will be “advantage Trump”. This because a Bloomberg nomination will mean Bernie once again has been snubbed. I believe another Bernie snub will cause many of his supporters to remain at home and sit out the election. That, combined with Trump’s ramped-up efforts to snag a larger portion of the black vote, will result in a Bloomberg loss no matter how many TV commercials he runs, and even if he has Hillary as his running mate.
I have been following the Rasmussen daily tracking poll for a long time. This since it was the closest to being accurate back in 2016 . . . I suspect because Rasmussen includes opinions only of likely voters. Frankly, opinions of registered voters, or of the general public, do not matter one whit. Only people who actually vote matter. It could be black voters. Other polls have Trump’s numbers among black voters at double what they were back in 2016. If that holds it is a political death sentence for any Democrat candidate.
Surprised today to find President Trump’s positive rating at 52%. I have never before seen his Rasmussen rating that high, and I cannot account for this outcome. It is what it is, I guess. If he can hang onto anything close to 52% he will win in November by a landslide.
ETA
Trump is back down to 51% today. Usually he runs between 45% and 49%.
Today Trump approval is back down to 46%. The coronavirus excitement is doing to Trump what the Democrats were unable to accomplish with impeachment, etc…
People are becoming ill, many are losing money, and the mainstream media is inciting as much concern as they are able. Perhaps this coronavirus will take Trump down when nothing else was able to bring about his demise.
But in any event, that Rasmussen daily tracking poll approval number decline from 52% to just 46% is real and Trump had better face the reality.
Way to focus on the data that supports your opinion. 538 gives Rasmussen a C+ rating with a +1.5 R bias (I think that means you need to subtract 1.5% from the R rating (in this case approval) to remove the bias, but I’m not sure). Take a look here for a more realistic picture: How Popular Is Donald Trump? | FiveThirtyEight. There are a few outliers that sometimes cross the 50% mark, but most polls are below that most of the time.
Trump’s preference to run against Bernie, and not Biden, has been made manifest. Consider:
Trump is tweeting accurately regarding Bernie’s being opposed by the Democrat establishment.
And the moribund Republican Senate, bunch of timid, frightened, slackers that they are, finally got off their posteriors. Senator Johnson has announced hearings regarding Burisma. Sa’bout time.
Lightweight Lindsey Graham? Many promises; no action whatsoever. But do NOT try to come between that idiot and a TV camera. You could be injured.
Trump is in severe trouble. His approval has descended to just 41% in the IBD (Investors Business Daily) poll. This is a reliable, no BS, poll. Have to assume this is on account of his handling of the coronavirus crisis, and/or the attendant financial losses being suffered by many voters.
Rasmussen still has Trump way up at 47%. But the IBD number was prescient back in 2016. It cannot be ignored.
Can’t have community transmission, cases, or deaths caused directly from incompetence at making use of a containment phase if we only test five people a day. – What emergency???
Tens of millions of Americans detest President Trump. I suspect nobody hates him more than Michael Bloomberg. Certainly no single American has put out as much money as Bloomberg has to bring Trump down.
Bloomberg has exited the Democrat POTUS scramble. But he is NOT disbanding his nationwide staff. Instead all those people, with Bloomberg’s billions behind them, will be mobilized to defeat President Trump.
I sense Bloomberg’s thrust will be far more anti-Trump than it is pro-Biden (Bloomberg is not a fan of Bernie, but he does not possess for Bernie the visceral loathing he feels for Trump).
Indeed it has been my sense for a while that Bloomberg’s campaign from the jump was far more oriented to trashing Trump than it was to garnering the nomination. It was a campaign fueled and energized by pure, unvarnished enmity.
That is a reasonable question. Trump was tested, but not until after he became POTUS. His cognition tested very high.
It is difficult to discern regarding Biden. Is his overall cognition off, or is it merely a speech problem with his mental powers otherwise unimpaired? A speech problem alone would not be disqualifying, in my view. But we don’t know.
As you state, testing is needed before this fellow becomes our next POTUS.
Observing a family member at home is not the same as a quick peak at a stranger on a stage who’s been campaigning nonstop for months. I mean, it’s not even in the same ballpark.
Get such an opinion from someone who’s actually been with Biden for most of the day, every day for a few weeks, and I’ll start to listen.
