Investment impact of Russia Ukraine crisis

[harish7631]

@scripta

I posted this in another thread on February 18, and it’s exactly what’s happening:

@scripta

IMO eastern Ukraine is doomed. The separatist regions are going to pull a Crimea by declaring independence, conducting a phony referendum, and voting with a 98% majority to join Russia. Or maybe they’ll stay independent and join the CIS, just to create a wider border for Russia. Russia might want a few more eastern regions for itself. I doubt they want the west, since, unlike the east, the west has too few ethnic Russians, and the ethnic Ukrainians tend to hate everyone who isn’t Ukrainian.

What lies ahead is less obvious

Accurate forecast though me thinks Putin’s initial plan was to annex the whole of Ukraine. He never imagine the resolve of Zelensky and the Ukrainian population to keep their country independent. The special operation had to be redefined to Putin’s chagrin.