The 2020 USA POTUS election politics, the civil war, and the world war (Part 1)

Personal anecdote – my sibling and I (raised together) are on the opposite sides of many issues. I have 2 cousins (siblings raised together) who are polar opposites of each other. Not twins though. Also human intelligence is only about 50% inherited (according to the Brain Rules for Baby book).

You think or scientists/psychologists think? It just sounds so broad as to likely be partly wrong. I would not have painted conservatives as greedy or liberals as envying. People of all convictions give money to charity or religious organizations, who in turn care for people in need. Although I suppose this could also be out of fear of going to hell :laughing:. The liberal points of having the rich pay their fair share in taxes and to reduce income and wealth inequality are not driven by envy – they are driven by fairness (and math). IMO anyway, and I can’t speak for everyone. Everyone wants to be rich and way too many people actually believe they could be rich one day, even though the odds are against them. But because of this, the rich are more likely to be revered than envied.

President Donald J. Trump is the odds on favorite to win reelection. A reliable forecasting tool, the Primary Model, has his victory shot over Biden at 91% probable.

Don’t scoff. The Primary Model has correctly forecast the winner of all but two POTUS contests since 1912. It missed in 1960 which, you might recall, was a hotly contested and VERY close election. It also missed in Y2K’s incredibly tight “hanging chad” election. In all the other POTUS elections since 1912 it has correctly predicted the winner. And, yes, that includes Truman over Dewey in '48 and the election in 2016 as well.

Want more detail and the inside scoop? Here you go:

Trump victory in November POTUS contest is all but a certainty

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I’ll stick with Rush & Mark Levin forecast of a Trump win.

(I did get caught up on the video) & yes Atherton is for the riches of rich. When I first got married we lived in San Jose, CA going to college. We lived in Gov housing Quansit (sp) huts then. If we had only stayed there & invested in real estate we would be ultra wealthy now. (of course we were to poor, etc)

Lol always a whiny baby (and the plan is not similar at all in reality… It actually proposes buy American vs nonsense like tariffs on raw materials that give advantages to foreign producers of finished products over domestic).

Plus R&D and clean energy investments instead of massive increases in fossil fuel subsidies to save our “beautiful” coal plants.

Yeah, but your boy Biden is well known and recognized as an inveterate plagiarizer. The poor guy has only had one or two original thoughts in his life. His last one, expressed to President Obama at a super critical juncture , was “do not risk going in after Bin Laden”.

Thank goodness President Obama followed his own counsel on that one. Had Biden been POTUS, Bin Laden would still be alive and well and trying hard to kill Americans. Biden is a phony, and he is not smart at all.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/07/10/trump-hannity-cognitive-test/

Lol. He basically said doctors were “very surprised” he remembered his name and the day of the week. (That basically amounts to what the “test” is). What an amazing achievement!

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Irony of the day, the non-free speech edition. A letter solely signed by anti-Trump leftists endorsing free discourse generally was rapidly found to be too extreme for these modern times. After being published in Harpers with many prominent signatories including Noam Chomsky, it shortly sparked a handful of unprompted apologies and regret by several signatories who found themselves in hot water at work or the very least insufficiently progressive company. And of course there were the obligatory claims that somewhere out there a snowflake felt “less safe” and someone they didn’t like should be fired or at least make a groveling apology.

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Where do you find these random blogs? Tried reading a paragraph of the 2nd, the blogger tried too hard to use a thesaurus every third word to try to sound smart and instead ended up with a disjointed mess of words.

So is “cancel culture” supposed to be referring to cancelling consequences for criminals, cancelling liabilities for incompetently run businesses, cancelling the prestige and leadership of the USA around the world, and cancelling financial losses for “investors” who make poor investments – or does it solely refer to “cancelling” public support of Confederate “monuments”, cancelling excessive tolerance and privileges for white nationalists, and cancelling unchecked immunity for the few participating in police brutality?

Cancelled rally because it would be empty… “Weather”. Must’ve taken a black sharpie to a map and made his own “forecast” again.

Weather report on eastern area has look terrible for the last couple days. I’m a strong Rep & I wouldn’t have planed on a trip today. The Presidential worker’s need planning time for these big events.

Trump made a wise choice to cancel!

Instead I understand he will visit Reed veterans hospital. Bend3r don’t hold me to that, I heard it on radio.

The quote was

“Like people don’t remember, nobody ever heard of it until I came along, nobody remembered it for a long time, or they didn’t use it at least, I use it all the time: Abraham Lincoln was a Republican. You know you say that and people say, ‘I didn’t know that’,

So a headline that he claimed to uncover this big revolation is as exaggerated as what he did say. Then they actually try to “prove” he’s wrong? Good God.

But more importantly, this is Trump. It’s who he is, and has been for 40 years. Why would anyone possibly expect anything different? And why would anyone insist on writing about (or linking to…) it every time, like it is groundbreaking news that will finally cause people to change their minds? It’s annoying when Trump does it, it’s more annoying when people keep writing about it.

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Understood. Not that you do not, but you must bear in mind fastidiously at all times the high level of sheer, unvarnished hatred for his supporters, and for Trump as their front man. We are truly, in the eyes of those on the left which includes the press corps in its entirety, completely, irredeemably, deplorable and despicable.

This circumstance has existed for quite a long while. But until now we, recently at least, have not had a front man willing to get into their faces as Trump is willing to do. People like McCain and (ugh!) Romney merely papered over the differences with a thin veneer of lies and phony smiles. But the differences across a broad range of issues remain, and they are stark and irreconcilable.

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Everyone knows Trump’s a criminal. So it’s not relevant.
Everyone knows Trump associates with criminals and felons. So it’s not relevant.
Everyone knows Trump’s a liar. So it’s not relevant.
Everyone knows Trump’s sexist and a womanizer. So it’s not relevant.
Everyone knows Trump’s a racist. So it’s not relevant.
Everyone knows Trump’s geriatric and obese. So it’s not relevant.
Everyone knows the Trump campaign coordinated with Russia to get him elected and after election Trump has been pushing Russian interests. So it’s not relevant.

On the other hand…

Biden’s a few days older than Trump! (but not obese) Who would ever want to vote for an “old” president??? He’s gonna die right after being elected!
Biden puts his foot in his mouth in a small minority of cases. See? He’s got dimentia!
Democrats and “librals” want to destroy the country! Sure, there’s no evidence and this is all made up… but that’s only because the “Deep State” keeps hiding the evidence! Watch Tucker Carlson on Fox “News”! He tells it like it is!

Apparently not. The teflon coating might be starting to peel off from the spray tan.

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Some of those are…questionable claims, at best. But they’ve all been on the table since long before he was elected. So even if you think it’s so terrible, all that continuously highlighting it does is make us look even worse to the outside world.

It’s baffling why so many are so eager to bite off our own nose just to spite our face. Most of the supposed “damage” Trump has done to our reputation has actually been carried out by our own media and citizens.

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Nice graphical presentation of the “statues” distribution

Other news after the latest felon commutation, Graham’s apparently changed his mind:

“There are none so blind as those who will not see.”

https://www.wsj.com/articles/police-wrestle-with-surge-in-crime-in-u-s-cities-amid-defunding-efforts-11594472400

Some cities are on track to have their most violent summers in years. In Milwaukee, homicides are up 37% so far this year, on pace to break the record of 167 in 1991, which included 16 murders by convicted serial killer Jeffrey Dahmer. Homicides so far this year in Chicago are ahead of the pace of 2016, which marked the city’s highest tally since 1996. In New York and Los Angeles, which have seen falling numbers of homicides for years, killings this year are up 23% and 11.6%, respectively. Kansas City, Mo., has recorded 99 killings since January, far outpacing any record for the first six months of the year.

New York City disbanded its anticrime unit of plainclothes officers on June 15, part of a $1 billion reduction in the city’s police budget. The city logged 205 shootings in June, the highest for the month since 1996. Police cited the release of some prisoners from Rikers Island amid coronavirus concerns and bail reforms that went into place earlier in the year.

There were 27 homicides in Chicago in the week ended July 5, a 125% increase from a year earlier, according to Chicago Police Department data. Twenty-five of the killings were in the heavily Black or Hispanic South and West sides.

In Kansas City, Mo., where a population of approximately half a million people has had nearly 100 killings this year, Mayor Quinton Lucas said he wants to tackle systemic issues contributing to violence, but right now, they still need police. “We have children dying right now on the streets,” he said.

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To the chagrin of some, there is a disproportionate percentage of violent crime happening in minority neighborhoods. However, somehow the police is to blame for that. And if you point out what statistics indicate, there is something wrong with you.

That’s to the chagrin of everyone, is it not?? It should be, anyways…

Is not the whole “defund” argument is to add funds to social services, to reduce these problems at the source rather than just addressing the symptoms? You seem to be on the same page… I’m not really on any page really, locally there is less of a problem.

Police aren’t to blame for that, where are you seeing such claim? They are to blame for targeted murders, as isolated as they may be they are still systemic – along with the nearly complete insulation from consequences for perpetrators if they have a uniform.

Nice false narratives, though. Sure, there might be a minority fitting them.