(my opinion)
Abortion decision impact on fall 2022 elections
The Democrats will, of course, squeeze the last drop of juice out of today’s SCOTUS ruling. Every minute they can talk about, scream about, a topic unrelated to inflation, energy prices, the border, and all the rest of their maladministration is a win for the Dems. And akin to their phony House “Select Committee” fiasco, abortion is such a topic.
As with so much else, though, it comes down to ten Republican Senate votes OR doing away with the filibuster:
I don’t think the Dems have ten Senate votes among Republicans, though they could indeed have a few. And I believe Sinema would vote to restore abortion rights nationwide, while votes from Manchin and Casey are at least suspect and questionable. And I think both Sinema and Manchin will stand firm on the filibuster.
So at the bottom line I believe any effort by Democrats legislatively to restore abortion rights nationwide will fall short. But this new issue will offer them a wonderful opportunity to swing yet another bright shiny object before the eyes of the American public, with of course the unwavering cooperation of their wholly owned American mainstream media. And with the election coming at them like a freight train, the Democrats need all the bright shiny objects they can conjure.